Mills 126-141
In lecture 3, we learned about population growth models that assume demographic rates are unrelated to population size
We also learned that this assumption leads to exponential population growth
No population can grow exponentially forever (or even for relatively short periods of time)
No population can grow exponentially forever (or even for relatively short periods of time)
Thomas Malthus was the first to propose that no population could grow without bound forever (1798)
No population can grow exponentially forever (or even for relatively short periods of time)
Thomas Malthus was the first to propose that no population could grow without bound forever (1798)
Malthus' work inspired Darwin (1859) to suggest that limitation of resources is what drives evolution by natural selection
We also learned that, given enough time, populations that experience stochasticity will eventually go extinct
We also learned that, given enough time, populations that experience stochasticity will eventually go extinct
The tendency of population vital rates, and therefore population growth rate, to change (increase or decrease) as a function of population size
The tendency of population vital rates, and therefore population growth rate, to change (increase or decrease) as a function of population size
The tendency of population vital rates, and therefore population growth rate, to change (increase or decrease) as a function of population size
At small population sizes, individual organisms may be able to acquire all of the resources they need to survive and reproduce
As N increases, the availability of resources per organism will decrease, leading to increased competition
At small population sizes, individual organisms may be able to acquire all of the resources they need to survive and reproduce
As N increases, the availability of resources per organism will decrease, leading to increased competition
Intra-specific competition:
interaction between individuals of a single species brought about by the need for a shared resource
At small population sizes, individual organisms may be able to acquire all of the resources they need to survive and reproduce
As N increases, the availability of resources per organism will decrease, leading to increased competition
Intra-specific competition:
interaction between individuals of a single species brought about by the need for a shared resource
Intra-specific competition can arise in multiple ways:
Animals
Plants
Ecologists generally distinguish between two types of competition:
Ecologists generally distinguish between two types of competition:
1) Exploitation competition
consumption of limited resource by individuals depletes the amount available for others
also known as: depletion, consumption, or scramble competition
indirect
Image courtesy of U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Headquarters, via Wikimedia Commons
Ecologists generally distinguish between two types of competition:
1) Exploitation competition
2) Interference competition
individuals actively prevent others from attaining a resource in a given area or territory
also known as: encounter or contest competition
direct
Image courtesy of Muhammad Mahdi Karim, via Wikimedia Commons
As population size increases, the resources available to each individual will eventually shrink to the point where demographic parameters are negatively effected
As population size increases, the resources available to each individual will eventually shrink to the point where demographic parameters are negatively effected
Left of the intersection, population growth rate is positive so the population will grow
Right of the intersection, population growth is negative so the population will shrink
Carrying capacity K:
the population size that the environment can maintain 1
1 At the intersection, population growth is 0 so the population will be stable
The density-dependent processes we just learned about are called regulating factors
Limiting factors determine the actual value of K
2 Think of regulating factors like a thermostat - if the temperature goes below the desired temperature ($N < K$), the heater kicks on ($b$ increases). If once the temperature increases above the set temperature ($N > K$), the heater turns off ($d$ increases)
dNdt=N×r
dNdt=N×r
dNdt=N×r
the rate of population growth changes as population size increases
1NdNdt=r
1NdNdt=r (Note that all we did was divide both sides by N)
1NdNdt=r (Note that all we did was divide both sides by N)
1NdNdt=r
There are r new individuals added to the population
1NdNdt=r
There are r new individuals added to the population
every time step (e.g., hour, day, week, etc.)
1NdNdt=r
There are r new individuals added to the population
every time step (e.g., hour, day, week, etc.)
per individual currently in the population
1NdNdt=r
There are r new individuals added to the population
every time step (e.g., hour, day, week, etc.)
per individual currently in the population
1NdNdt=r
There are r new individuals added to the population
every time step (e.g., hour, day, week, etc.)
per individual currently in the population
1NdNdt=r
There are r new individuals added to the population
every time step (e.g., hour, day, week, etc.)
per individual currently in the population
It's also helpful to visualize this equation:
y=a+bx
y=a+bx
1NdNdt=r+cN.
3 a is the y-intercept (the value of y when x=0) and b is the slope (the change in y per unit change is x).
4I changed the slope to c to ensure that it is not confused with the birth rate b
So now, the per capita growth rate (1NdNdt) decreases as N increases
The slope of the relationship between 1NdNdt and N
i.e., the amount by which population growth changes for every individual added to the population
The slope of the relationship between 1NdNdt and N
i.e., the amount by which population growth changes for every individual added to the population
In this case, it has to be negative (growth rate decreases as N increases)
The slope of the relationship between 1NdNdt and N
i.e., the amount by which population growth changes for every individual added to the population
In this case, it has to be negative (growth rate decreases as N increases)
The slope of the relationship between 1NdNdt and N
i.e., the amount by which population growth changes for every individual added to the population
In this case, it has to be negative (growth rate decreases as N increases)
1NdNdt=r0+cN∗=0
The slope of the relationship between 1NdNdt and N
i.e., the amount by which population growth changes for every individual added to the population
In this case, it has to be negative (growth rate decreases as N increases)
1NdNdt=r0+cN∗=0solving for N∗, we can see that:
N∗=−r0c
The slope of the relationship between 1NdNdt and N
i.e., the amount by which population growth changes for every individual added to the population
1NdNdt=r0+cN∗=0
solving for N∗, we can see that:
N∗=−r0c=K
We now have a full equation for the relationship between 1NdNdt and N:
1NdNdt=r0+cN
We now have a full equation for the relationship between 1NdNdt and N:
1NdNdt=r0+cNHow does this work?
We now have a full equation for the relationship between 1NdNdt and N:
1NdNdt=r0+cNHow does this work?
If r0=1 and c=−0.001, what is the population growth rate when N=100?
We now have a full equation for the relationship between 1NdNdt and N:
1NdNdt=r0+cNHow does this work?
If r0=1 and c=−0.001, what is the population growth rate when N=100?
We now have a full equation for the relationship between 1NdNdt and N:
1NdNdt=r0+cNHow does this work?
If r0=1 and c=−0.001, what is the population growth rate when N=100?
What about when N=500?
We now have a full equation for the relationship between 1NdNdt and N:
1NdNdt=r0+cNHow does this work?
If r0=1 and c=−0.001, what is the population growth rate when N=100?
What about when N=500?
We now have a full equation for the relationship between 1NdNdt and N:
1NdNdt=r0+cNHow does this work?
If r0=1 and c=−0.001, what is the population growth rate when N=100?
What about when N=500?
When N=1000?
We now have a full equation for the relationship between 1NdNdt and N:
1NdNdt=r0+cNHow does this work?
If r0=1 and c=−0.001, what is the population growth rate when N=100?
What about when N=500?
When N=1000?
dNdt=N×(r0+cN)
dNdt=N×(r0+cN)
dNdt=N×(r0+cN)
The change in population size per time step
dNdt=N×(r0+cN)
The change in population size per time step
equals the current population size
dNdt=N×(r0+cN)
The change in population size per time step
equals the current population size
times the growth rate when population size equals N
dNdt=N×(r0+cN)
The change in population size per time step
equals the current population size
times the growth rate when population size equals N
- This is called the logistic growth model
What is dNdt when N=100?
What is dNdt when N=100?
What about when N=500?
What is dNdt when N=100?
What about when N=500?
When N=1000?
What happens to dNdt when N>K?
6 Thickness and color of line correspond to magnitude of population change (thicker and darker red correspond to larger rate of change)
6 Thickness and color of line correspond to magnitude of population change (thicker and darker red correspond to larger rate of change)
Rate of change is largest when abundance is at half of the carrying capacity (N=K2)
Above K, the rate of change becomes negative
When abundance drops below the minimum viable population (MVP), the population will likely approach extinction without help!
Nt+1=Ntλ
Nt+1=Ntλ
Nt+1=Ntλ
λ=er
and:
r=1NdNdt=r0+cN
Nt+1=Nte[r0+cN]
Mills 126-141
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